Penn State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
162  Leigha Anderson JR 20:16
194  Marta Klebe SR 20:22
226  Emily Giannotti SR 20:26
285  Katie Rodden JR 20:35
502  Tori Gerlach SO 20:57
626  Sarah Jane Underwood SO 21:08
705  Stephanie Aldrich FR 21:13
736  Rachel Casciano JR 21:15
1,069  Julie Kocjancic FR 21:37
1,096  Lauren Mills JR 21:39
1,159  Cara Ulizio FR 21:43
1,253  Danielle Kocjancic SR 21:49
1,293  Gabrielle Cocco SR 21:51
1,388  Audrey Houghton SO 21:58
2,269  Gwenn Porter SR 22:53
National Rank #38 of 340
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 62.0%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.5%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 91.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Leigha Anderson Marta Klebe Emily Giannotti Katie Rodden Tori Gerlach Sarah Jane Underwood Stephanie Aldrich Rachel Casciano Julie Kocjancic Lauren Mills Cara Ulizio
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 875 20:18 20:43 21:26 20:40 20:46 21:29 20:55
Penn State National 10/18 1223 21:30 21:38 21:42
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 747 20:06 20:19 20:29 20:39 20:58 21:11 21:06
Big Ten Championships 11/03 741 20:25 20:11 20:27 20:22 21:29 21:05 21:13 21:15 21:48
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 711 20:09 20:16 20:28 20:30 20:49 20:55 21:40
NCAA Championship 11/23 795 20:27 20:29 20:13 20:44 20:54 21:07 21:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 62.0% 26.4 637 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.9 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.3 4.9 5.9 6.5 6.9 7.5 8.4
Region Championship 100% 3.9 116 0.2 7.9 31.3 31.3 21.0 6.8 1.1 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Leigha Anderson 76.7% 126.5 0.0 0.0
Marta Klebe 70.6% 139.0
Emily Giannotti 66.7% 150.8
Katie Rodden 62.9% 175.2
Tori Gerlach 62.0% 220.5
Sarah Jane Underwood 62.0% 236.0
Stephanie Aldrich 62.0% 240.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Leigha Anderson 12.9 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.3 2.7 3.6 5.8 6.0 6.6 7.2 7.1 7.4 6.3 7.2 5.4 5.2 4.9 3.7 3.3 2.6 2.4 1.7 1.5 1.2
Marta Klebe 15.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.6 4.2 5.7 6.4 5.4 5.8 5.9 6.2 5.7 5.6 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.1 3.3 2.2 2.5
Emily Giannotti 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.3 3.5 3.9 4.8 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.0 5.5 6.6 5.6 5.2 4.9 4.2 3.5 3.4
Katie Rodden 23.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.8 4.6 5.7 5.0 5.1 5.4 5.9 5.1
Tori Gerlach 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.5
Sarah Jane Underwood 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
Stephanie Aldrich 61.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 7.9% 100.0% 7.9 7.9 2
3 31.3% 80.3% 0.1 0.9 1.2 2.2 2.4 1.9 2.3 2.8 2.8 2.5 1.8 1.8 2.5 6.2 25.2 3
4 31.3% 66.5% 0.1 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.7 10.5 20.8 4
5 21.0% 36.4% 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.8 1.3 0.8 1.3 13.3 7.6 5
6 6.8% 3.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.6 0.3 6
7 1.1% 1.1 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 62.0% 0.2 7.9 0.1 1.0 2.1 3.5 4.3 4.1 4.8 5.4 6.3 5.7 5.4 4.7 6.6 38.0 8.1 53.9




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Wisconsin 35.7% 1.0 0.4
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Alabama 9.4% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 2.0 0.1
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0